Blogging and Extremism
Does blogging promote intellectual isolation and extremism? Cass Sunstein has an interesting article in the Financial Times about the construction of information cocoons and the polarization of political views. He cites an "off-line" experiment:
Sunstein argues that this experiment has parallels in the blogging world:
I do think that many bloggers form intellectual cocoons by linking only to like-minded thinkers. Moreover, anyone who surfs the Internets knows that there is often a lack of civility toward alternative ideologies.
However, I don't agree with Sunstein's conclusion that polarized views are harmful for democracy. Sunstein seems to take the view that democratic debate must be moderate and centrist. He is confusing cause and effect. I do not work on American politics, but I would think that if US political institutions structually push politicians to court median voters in the majority of electoral battles, then it would seem that the real impact of intellectual cocoons is to make polarized thinkers less relevant to the electoral process, particularly after the intra-party primaries. Thus the reason to avoid intellectual cocooning is mainly to make oneself rhetorically relevant outside of a small community of like-minded thinkers.
About 60 US citizens were put into 10 groups. They deliberated on controversial issues, such as whether the US should sign an international treaty to combat global warming and whether states should allow same-sex couples to enter into civil unions. The groups consisted of predominantly either leftwing or rightwing members, with the former drawn from left-of-centre Boulder and the latter from Colorado Springs, which tends to be right of centre. The groups, not mixed, were screened to ensure members conformed to stereotypes. (If people in Boulder liked Vice-President Dick Cheney, they were cordially excused.) People were asked to state their opinions anonymously before and after the group discussion .
In almost every group, people ended up with more extreme positions. The Boulder groups favoured an international treaty to control global warming before discussion; they favoured it far more strongly afterwards. In Colorado Springs, people were neutral on that treaty before discussion; discussion led them to oppose it strongly. Same-sex unions became much more popular in Boulder and less so in Colorado Springs.
Aside from increasing extremism, discussion had another effect: it squelched diversity. Before members talked, many groups displayed internal disagreement. These were greatly reduced: discussion widened the rift between Boulder and Colorado Springs
Sunstein argues that this experiment has parallels in the blogging world:
Group polarisation clearly occurs on the internet. For example, 80 per cent of readers of the leftwing blog Daily Kos are Democrats and fewer than 1 per cent are Republicans. Many popular bloggers link frequently to those who agree with them and to contrary views, if at all, only to ridicule them. To a significant extent, people are learning about supposed facts from narrow niches and like-minded others.
This matters for the electoral process. A high degree of self-sorting leads to more confidence, extremism and increased contempt for those with contrary views.
I do think that many bloggers form intellectual cocoons by linking only to like-minded thinkers. Moreover, anyone who surfs the Internets knows that there is often a lack of civility toward alternative ideologies.
However, I don't agree with Sunstein's conclusion that polarized views are harmful for democracy. Sunstein seems to take the view that democratic debate must be moderate and centrist. He is confusing cause and effect. I do not work on American politics, but I would think that if US political institutions structually push politicians to court median voters in the majority of electoral battles, then it would seem that the real impact of intellectual cocoons is to make polarized thinkers less relevant to the electoral process, particularly after the intra-party primaries. Thus the reason to avoid intellectual cocooning is mainly to make oneself rhetorically relevant outside of a small community of like-minded thinkers.
Labels: american politics, blog